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DMiller
Orange Level Access Joined: 14 Sep 2009 Location: Hermann, Mo Points: 30868 |
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Posted: 10 Aug 2024 at 5:32am |
Housing sales here have all but ceased. New construction has slipped into crawl gear with ‘Special Incentive Deals’ flags flying. Only ones still buying are those that have fluid cash to just buy, major
Money holders are buying up hobby farms around here not for farming but for recreational space. Is a Four Million dollar “limited, intermittent use” house being built on a vravel road outside of town, owners live in St Louis where he is investment broker she is a housewife, bought close to 4000 acres in parcels for last fifteen years all ‘investment buys’ for a nature site(Controlled Hunting). He is 74 she 50 and Third wife, she does NOT come out except when has to as I have been explained, two children not ever set foot on site, both have families out of state. See this turning into some sort of massive collapsing dump along with the few others can note as the owners die and children want the cash out. Edited by DMiller - 10 Aug 2024 at 5:34am |
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jaybmiller
Orange Level Access Joined: 12 Sep 2009 Location: Greensville,Ont Points: 22337 |
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Know of several framers NOT working, even though huge housing shortage. Seems most new home buyers can't afford MILLION dollar house for some silly reason..so..developers aren't BUILDING ! I don't care how low the mortgage rate is, even 0.99% is too high to buy a high priced house.
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3 D-14s,A-C forklift, B-112
Kubota BX23S lil' TOOT( The Other Orange Tractor) Never burn your bridges, unless you can walk on water |
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DanWi
Orange Level Access Joined: 18 Sep 2009 Location: wttn Points: 1758 |
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Read this week that a lumber company in Wisconsin was shutting down 3 mills, laying off 150 people. With closings like that it also puts loggers and truckers out of jobs.
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DMiller
Orange Level Access Joined: 14 Sep 2009 Location: Hermann, Mo Points: 30868 |
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Seems rough times have settled in at Cat Peoria as well, contractor killed at Illinois proving grounds.
https://www.centralillinoisproud.com/news/local-news/investigation-underway-after-caterpillar-inc-contractor-dies-at-peoria-proving-ground-facility/amp/ |
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DMiller
Orange Level Access Joined: 14 Sep 2009 Location: Hermann, Mo Points: 30868 |
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The fed was going to corner the Tax Value market, by taxing inventories that just sat. Then JIT developed and those that did stockpile big inventories would write those down over time and send all that NEW Inventory to Scrap yards for destruction. Have seen that first hand and at the Nuke I worked as well the Electrical Distribution District I started at with the company.
Several companies have done as Tbone noted, ordered a Years worth but deliveries held back to nearly JIT schedules. Out Country suppliers do not have to ship immediately as they do not have inventory taxation, uncertain if US Manufacturers have to pay tax on new component materials (Not a finished product) if have not sold even as have produced. US Guv could wise up and eliminate garbage tax programs as that one that did nothing but screw up business.
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Tbone95
Orange Level Access Joined: 31 Aug 2012 Location: Michigan Points: 11566 |
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There ya go! You did it!!! You found an extreme situation to prove yourself right and to show what idiots “they” are at the companies once again! Congratulations!!! I didn’t help lead our plant’s lean initiatives years ago either. I don’t know anything and you’re absolutely right! |
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Tbone95
Orange Level Access Joined: 31 Aug 2012 Location: Michigan Points: 11566 |
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Edited by Tbone95 - 03 Aug 2024 at 9:12pm |
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jaybmiller
Orange Level Access Joined: 12 Sep 2009 Location: Greensville,Ont Points: 22337 |
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re: but they do plan to avoid critical area shut downs. well that didn't work so well for any of the car assembly plants in Ontario when the MI/Ontario border was illegally shutdown for few days, a few years back..... |
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3 D-14s,A-C forklift, B-112
Kubota BX23S lil' TOOT( The Other Orange Tractor) Never burn your bridges, unless you can walk on water |
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DMiller
Orange Level Access Joined: 14 Sep 2009 Location: Hermann, Mo Points: 30868 |
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Over thirty days in inventory the assembly facility pays inventory taxes on it. JIT for GM Chrysler and Ford St Louis was always no more than a weeks worth of materials. Was working for Gelco Rental the early 80s where that information came from a supplies hauler.
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steve(ill)
Orange Level Access Joined: 11 Sep 2009 Location: illinois Points: 80556 |
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Just in time does not mean the parts show up at noon today because you wer going to run out at 1 PM..... As Tbone said, different items have different "JIT" depeding on how hard they are to ship and where they come from... JIT could be 24 hours... but can be a week or 30 days in SOME cases...
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Like them all, but love the "B"s.
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Tbone95
Orange Level Access Joined: 31 Aug 2012 Location: Michigan Points: 11566 |
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We do business with General Motors, Ford, Stellantis, Deere, Caterpillar, GE, Dana, their suppliers and 1000’s of other companies. But what would I know. |
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jaybmiller
Orange Level Access Joined: 12 Sep 2009 Location: Greensville,Ont Points: 22337 |
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The big problems are cost and space. 'Reserve' inventory takes up expensive space, lowers the 'bottom line'. Also real money is tied up in that reserve inventory. I got a killer deal on Twinwall one summer. Asked supplier what was 'on the shelf collecting dust'. Next day, a delivery guy came with 3 skids FULL of Twinwall, that I paid about 5% of HIS cost. Everyone was happy ! Have to be smart to decide what is 'critical' and what is an 'acceptable' stock level. Cut a lot of code 4 decades ago for local hobbyshop, as there were seasonal blips and 99.44% came from USA. You'd think todays computers would be smarter and get the 'numbers' right.
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3 D-14s,A-C forklift, B-112
Kubota BX23S lil' TOOT( The Other Orange Tractor) Never burn your bridges, unless you can walk on water |
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Tbone95
Orange Level Access Joined: 31 Aug 2012 Location: Michigan Points: 11566 |
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Most factories aren’t (still) dumb enough to run that short and tight on inventory anymore. It was a thing, but critical areas have been studied and a “store” is incorporated in critical areas to keep things going for a multiple of the takt time.
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DougG
Orange Level Joined: 20 Sep 2009 Location: Mo Points: 8102 |
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When I worked at Maytag we implimented the - JUST IN TIME- thing; but it was always a day late! Had to run to Kansas City Overnight terminal a few times for things!
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jaybmiller
Orange Level Access Joined: 12 Sep 2009 Location: Greensville,Ont Points: 22337 |
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Another factor in where stuff is made ,is 'JIT', Just In Time.Sub assemblies are made in other plants, then shipped(trucked really ) to a central assembly building. Have heard that over 1/2 of the car parts are actually in trailers, on the roads at any given time. So truckers are now mobile warehouses ! Big problem is when there's a delay (say due to bad weather or picketers ) . The holdup of just ONE trailer of parts can shutdown entire car production. |
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3 D-14s,A-C forklift, B-112
Kubota BX23S lil' TOOT( The Other Orange Tractor) Never burn your bridges, unless you can walk on water |
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DMiller
Orange Level Access Joined: 14 Sep 2009 Location: Hermann, Mo Points: 30868 |
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No doubts to both of your views. Everything and anything in the US runs, gets delivered or is made of Petroleum. Even those claiming Soy is a good plastic substitute forget takes fuel to Cultivate, plant then chemically protect and finally harvest that soy, then have to transport it to a mill for turning into meal to refine further for a Plastic substitute. Still have the entire production process that gets into electrical power where renewable nonsense will not make enough to keep the mills running.
Already know can make Biofuels, can manufacture nearly every form of energy needs fuels from agriculture, just tends to be ignored as expect the US to feed the globe, for Free.
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HudCo
Orange Level Joined: 29 Jan 2013 Location: Plymouth Utah Points: 3504 |
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totaly right dr. every thing revoles around the cost of fuel
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DrAllis
Orange Level Access Joined: 12 Sep 2009 Points: 20307 |
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It's taken longer than I thought it would to get where we are at. This Country runs on oil/gas/diesel fuel. Thanks to Uncle Joe and his regime, we immediately had higher fuel prices the first month they were in charge. EVERYTHING's price is tied to what transportation costs are. I think it will get worse and be a couple of years or more before things improve, if they ever do.
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AC7060IL
Orange Level Joined: 19 Aug 2012 Location: central IL Points: 3325 |
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Here’s a weblink to “Tractor Mike’s” perspective on Mexico production for US Ag mfgs.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=y50FcIrpmxE&pp=ygUTVHJhY3RvciBtaWtlIG1leGljbw%3D%3D |
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DanWi
Orange Level Access Joined: 18 Sep 2009 Location: wttn Points: 1758 |
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If they are not selling new stuff shouldn't there be a slight increase for repair parts.
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AC7060IL
Orange Level Joined: 19 Aug 2012 Location: central IL Points: 3325 |
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Agco plans significant layoffs, citing ‘weakening demand’
The farm equipment maker expects to cut up to 6% of its salaried workforce just days after disclosing some production will move to Mexico. Published June 27, 2024 By Nathan Owens Reporter https://www.agriculturedive.com/news/agco-reveals-layoffs-citing-weakening-demand/720047/ |
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plummerscarin
Orange Level Access Joined: 22 Jun 2015 Location: ia Points: 3400 |
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Kinze has now announced a layoff of almost 200.
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DMiller
Orange Level Access Joined: 14 Sep 2009 Location: Hermann, Mo Points: 30868 |
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Stellanis is the current parent company of Chrysler, seems the plant closers US started two years back. Dodge pickups are now RAM trucks no longer Dodge Badged, produced in MX, the STL plant at Fenton closed some over 10 years ago and was completely dismantled, Belvedere IL plant has lain empty a few years where the state of IL bought it for some idiotic plan. Most facilities were obsolescing so needed complete refurbishments, easier to close and continue production elsewhere just as Deere. Cat has been Japan/Asia including China produced for close to four decades and is not coming back. Europe faring no better as Asian industries from India to SE Asian nations deliver cheaper labor than even Mexico or S America nations.
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Ron Eggen
Orange Level Joined: 15 Sep 2009 Location: Lohman, Missour Points: 539 |
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If you think John Deere is bad , just google Chrysler closing plants and read what may happen with all their plants and everything else ! Rumor in Canada is that it is already started happening .
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Tbone95
Orange Level Access Joined: 31 Aug 2012 Location: Michigan Points: 11566 |
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Yeah, it seems so. But, it’s just another market within the system.
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steve(ill)
Orange Level Access Joined: 11 Sep 2009 Location: illinois Points: 80556 |
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I think some of the CEO pay is out of sight... but on the other hand if you take $26 MILLION and divide it up among 10,000 employees, EVERYBODY gets $1. an hour raise.... so its not going to FIX most problems.
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Like them all, but love the "B"s.
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Tbone95
Orange Level Access Joined: 31 Aug 2012 Location: Michigan Points: 11566 |
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Exactly right Steve. And when companies get very good at it, people call it evil. It’s called success in capitalism. Just the people working within the system in which we live. It’s easy to say a CEO isn’t worth $x, a product not worth $y, but how should those be limited, and by who?! |
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steve(ill)
Orange Level Access Joined: 11 Sep 2009 Location: illinois Points: 80556 |
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I once was at a meeting where the CEO of the Company said "WHAT DO WE MAKE HERE"... everyone said "WIDGETS" ( or what ever was produced).... the CEO said "WRONG.. We MAKE MONEY " !! ... He said ...."I can put the money in the bank and get 5% or in the Stock Market and get close to 10% .... If your not BEATING THAT, .. YOUR LOOSING MONEY "............. "WHY STAY IN BUSINESS"...
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Like them all, but love the "B"s.
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DanWi
Orange Level Access Joined: 18 Sep 2009 Location: wttn Points: 1758 |
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Dave I think there are a few things driving those prices and I wonder how long it's going to last. We have a liquid waste company in our area that buys land and doesn't have to make money farming it just spreads liquid on it. Two farmers had farms in the far suburbs of Milwaukee that are sitting on high dollar land and if they sell any they reinvest in more land. Then we have a large dairy that just keeps growing and buying land to grow corn silage and spread manure. Then we have a young guy then just rented a bunch of land away from others for more money maybe someone knows but we don't know what his financial backing is.akescyou scratch your head. Then there's the guy who's son is a lawyer and put together an investment group. The regular farmer can't compete with that without some kind of angle of his own.
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Butch(OH)
Orange Level Joined: 11 Sep 2009 Location: Lucerne Ohio Points: 3834 |
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My youngest son is a master mechanic for Komatsu, same story there, about half his total work load is warrenty work on DEF and DPF systems
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