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Off topic why don't farmers strike in 2017

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Tbone95 View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Tbone95 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 Aug 2016 at 6:54am
Originally posted by Gary Burnett Gary Burnett wrote:


Originally posted by Jwmac7060 Jwmac7060 wrote:

Dude....if I gotta start fu#$%% with goats I'm done. I got dad to sell all the sheep 15 years ago...I'll have a sale and quit before I start dealing with goats


Beats sitting around crying The Blues and going broke.Anyway are you from West Virginia since the first thing that came to your mind when goats were mention was F....ing(LOL)?


HAHAHAHAHAHAAAAAAAA!!!!

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote DougS Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 Aug 2016 at 6:57am
It is almost impossible to keep water out of gasoline in the supply system from the refinery to your fuel tank. In pure gasoline the water settles to the bottom and can be dealt with. Water doesn't do this in E10. Even with 100LL (aircraft) fuel I would occasionally drain a bit of water from the bottom of the aircraft fuel tanks when I did a preflight check. This is a big reason why the FAA has not approved E10 for aircraft use.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Tbone95 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 Aug 2016 at 7:05am
November feeder cattle futures: $1.32. $.07 over what it was 30 years ago! Brilliant strategy. At least it keeps you too busy all winter to have time to bitch about it!

Oh, and, I have cattle!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Tbone95 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 Aug 2016 at 7:16am
The thing is, none of us can see the future, and none of us can figure out the tangled web of government involvement. There's government programs that pull one direction where a different program pulls another. If you pick a pet peeve program, and want it gone, if it disappeared there would surely be an unforeseen or unintended consequence. It's easy to say the gov't should just get out of it all together, and that's a fine concept, but if you live in reality, you just absolutely know that is never going to happen.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dan73 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 Aug 2016 at 7:58am
Pigs would be better then cattle. I have cattle because I grew up with cows and like taking care of them they are easy and I understand the issues you have with them. But let me tell you without spending a lot of money to get started with cattle it is a very slow process. That 18 month to 2 years old for slaughter doesn't even sound that bad but you have to carry the mother for about a year before hand so you end up carrying critters for 3 years to get started. Slow slow process. With pigs I could have picked up piglets for a reasonable price and sold them 6 months later. But pigs won't eat my hay and thrive the way belties do.
As to government yup that is a mess big business and greed rule our world right now and I don't see that changing. Makes me think I should raise my own food and get solar power so I am off grid then I just need to cover taxes... I think in alot of ways life was better 100 years ago when most people lived on a small family farm and they worked hard but got most everything they needed off the land.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Tbone95 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 Aug 2016 at 8:50am
Dan you may be right about pigs. For now. Just a few years ago the bottom completely fell out of that market too, and has recovered some I think.

I agree with your point about cattle, but actually I think it's worse, because if you sell all of them as beef weight, you are feeding 3 mouths for every 1 head of cash flow: The mother, a 1st year calf, and the second year calf that's coming up to weight. Plus a bull or 2. I sell about 1/2 of mine as fall feeders. 1/2 of what's left is raised for freezer beef for my extended family and for sale, and the last 1/4 is replacement females.

At this time, roughly 1/2 my land supports the cattle, the other 1/2 is cash flow, such as hay for sale, corn, soybeans, wheat from time to time. I am diversified, which helps a lot, just this year, it all sucks!!! At least we had a drought too.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote JC-WI Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 Aug 2016 at 8:56am
" I think in alot of ways life was better 100 years ago when most people lived on a small family farm and they worked hard but got most everything they needed off the land."
Then some political arse sees you thriving and figures out a new way to screw you some more.
He who says there is no evil has already deceived himself
The truth is the truth, sugar coated or not. Trawler II says, "Remember that."
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dan73 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 Aug 2016 at 8:59am
Yup the reason I have the cows is to get my fields back in shape so I can sell the hay to the horse people. Cows can eat anything compared to horses. I think adding some pigs would make sense for me but I haven't wanted to figure out the feed and make a place for them. I am thinking maybe a dozen at the most. The down side is i don't want to keep the sow and deal with the birthing and castration of pigs so I would be stuck buying them and sometimes around here they are expensive.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dmpaul89 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 Aug 2016 at 9:27am
as far as grain, corn and soybeans have had good prices in the summer. all you have to do is lock in, or bin it.  was $4.50 this last june (only 3 months ago) and I expect it to be in the $4 range come next june just like it always does.  I'm just Thankfull I dont have to do Wheat.... the guys in Kansas, and Oklahoma are hurting with these prices. 

We just need to get rid of cash rent, federally subsidized crop insurance, and bulk discounts. everything in AG promotes expansion, you cant buy a new "little" combine in the U.S.  Bigger, Bigger, BIGGER   if this continues there will be no Family farm or even farmers.  just corporate offices, and laborers to work the ground 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Tcmtech Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 Aug 2016 at 11:00am
Originally posted by Jwmac7060 Jwmac7060 wrote:

Ethanol and water is the real problem...it's called phase separation...older engines,small engines,and two strokes run better on non ethanol gas.Anything with a carburetor will run better on non ethanol gas I don't care what you say...and these so called junk gas stocks you're talking about I'm not aware of in Indiana....everything comes out of our refinery at either 84 octane or 91 octane...the ethanol is then added to make the higher octane blends

On a carbureted engines with a fixed jet orifice design (non adjustable main and idle jets) like they put on most every small engine now are jetted to run as close to stichiomentic ratio, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stoichiometry , as they can get to meet emissions standards (theoretically cleanest burn and not most energy efficient which for gasoline is aroudn 12.5 - 13:1) which for gasoline is ~14.5:1 or right on the edge of being too lean to run properly. 

Ethanol has a much lower stoichiometric ratio of ~9:1 so when added to gasoline it pushes the effective air/fuel ratio the wrong way compromising engine performance and power due to the inability to be able to adjust the A/F ratio due to the fixed jet design.

On older engines with adjustable jetting it's not a problem. Nor is it a problem if a fixed jet carburetor has a larger jet installed that brings the effective A/F ratio back into a range the engine can handle.
On the fixed jet carburetors it requires either putting in a larger jet or simply drilling out the stock one a few 1000'ths of an inch which is what I have done to all of mine that I want to run E30 on.  After that there is no noticeable change in engine power or performance until the ethanol ratio is way higher such as running straight E85. 

Now for the gasoline stock I am referring to is their chemical compound base stocks  or feedstocks as in the many individual molecular structures mixed together to make gasoline. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gasoline  

Several of them are easily oxidized which makes them break down into what we see as that goo.   The main molecular group that causes the goo issue are called Olefins and unfortunately they make up around 40 - 60 % of gasolines total volume.  The two primary problems with them is they are sensitive to both heat degradation and oxygenation degradation from either pulling oxygen directly from the air or stripping it from water molecules.  
Or if you do have a well sealed fuel systems where air and water can't easily get in thegeniuses at the petro companies have already solved that problem by making  gasoline out of around 10-15% by volume MTBE which is an oxygenator of which if given time the Olefin molecules will strip the oxygen from the MTBE molecules and break down into goo anyway. 

So there you go. Whether you have ethanol or not they already have your gasoline formulated to breakdown into goo by design simply from its two primary base feedstocks.  Also if you are wondering what makes up the remaining percentage of gasoline it's a blend of several compounds referred to as BTEX.

As I mentioned in the begining and in other posts I have been running pretty much everything I have that burns gasoline as a fuel runs on E30  blends without problems but then I did make the necessary changes to accommodate it like drilling the jets out on the fixed jet carburetors and turning the fuel screws out a bit on the old adjustable jet ones. LOL

If a person takes the time to learn about what they don't understand finding ways to fix a problem is not that difficult.  I did and that's why I have zero issues with ethanol blended fuels and running them in way higher ethanol ratios than most  think should be possible. Wink

BTW ethanol can be converted into olefins and used for the manufacture of gasoline.
Plus in its native fom it's also a more enviromntally friendly alterative to the use of MTBE. 

So do you follow where I am coming from now on why I don't have a issue with ethanol fuels?  Question





Edited by Tcmtech - 29 Aug 2016 at 12:21pm
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Dan73 View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dan73 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 Aug 2016 at 11:09am
Well from everything you wrote I got that I an stuck with the goo come spring regardless of what I do so it wasn't really helpful with that problem.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dmpaul89 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 Aug 2016 at 11:14am
Tcmtech , that's a pretty good explanation there. Never acurred to me that there could be other things in gas besides ethanol. If this is really the case then why is this the first I have heard of it? I'd think ethanol companies would be frantically trying to clear ethanol of the water problem blame game. But they dont.   

I know one thing, you can put Coleman fuel in a lantern and 20 years from now it will still be good :) I wish I could buy it less than $10 a gallon I'd run my small engines on it
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dan73 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 Aug 2016 at 11:17am
I pulled my old 87 ponitic TA out of the the woods Ater letting it sit from about 95 and it fired right up on the fuel left in the tank so yes the old fuel was much more stable. I couldn't belive that it started and ran 4 years ago when I moved it.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Tcmtech Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 Aug 2016 at 11:29am
Originally posted by DougS DougS wrote:

It is almost impossible to keep water out of gasoline in the supply system from the refinery to your fuel tank. In pure gasoline the water settles to the bottom and can be dealt with. Water doesn't do this in E10. Even with 100LL (aircraft) fuel I would occasionally drain a bit of water from the bottom of the aircraft fuel tanks when I did a preflight check. This is a big reason why the FAA has not approved E10 for aircraft use.

Unfortunately comparing Avgas to Mogas is apples to oranges.   Although both are considered gasolines the two are nowhere near the same in base molecular design anymore which is why it will easily shed water. It's largely a hydrophobic blend whereas the Mogas, actually what we largely get is now called 'pump gas' and is of different specs than Mogas, blends we get for everything else that doesn't fly have a number of hydroscopic compounds in their mix. 

VS
^ Most pump gas is not Mogas^

To be honest Avgas is very close to what the old Mogas gasoline blends were before the EPA started meddling with things in the 60 - and 70's but with a lower Octane rating.    


Edited by Tcmtech - 29 Aug 2016 at 12:22pm
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Tcmtech Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 Aug 2016 at 11:35am
Originally posted by Dan73 Dan73 wrote:

Well from everything you wrote I got that I an stuck with the goo come spring regardless of what I do so it wasn't really helpful with that problem.

I'm aware and deal with it myself.   The only solution I have for things that have to sit all winter or longer is to either drain the tank or shut the fuel off and let the engine run the carburetor dry choking it until the last drop it can pull out of the bowl is gone. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote VAfarmboy Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 Aug 2016 at 11:38am
Originally posted by Unit3 Unit3 wrote:

What if we all went out and mowed down the end rows of each farm? That would do a way with any hopes of a record crop. 


The deer are doing that on several of my farms. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote 427435 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 Aug 2016 at 11:40am

Seems like this thread has morphed into an ethanol bashing thread.  My experience has been different than what others have posted.  I've got 15+ gas engines around my place----------some as much as 50 years old.  I had more problems with gas and gunk in the days before E10--------especially in my boat.  A lot of those engines are in things that don't get started often and sit all winter.  We've had mandatory E10 in Minnesota for 10+ years, and I haven't had problems with gunk or failed gaskets.  They all seem to start fine in the spring.  What I have noted is that the fuel bowls of the carbed engines I have are a lot cleaner now that E10 is running through them.


I did finally run into a possible E10 problem, for the first time, this month.  A 10+ year old string trimmer developed rotten fuel lines and primer bulb.  I wrote that off as cheap
Chinese parts.  However, fuel lines have been know to fail back in the days of "pure" gasoline as well.



Edited by 427435 - 29 Aug 2016 at 11:41am
Mark

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote DaSquatch Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 Aug 2016 at 11:44am
I have a 1964 Mercury Marine outboard motor owners manual that says you must run your motor at least once every two weeks OR use their house brand of fuel preservative/stabilizer.  Confirms my opinion that gasoline has never been at it's best when stored for very long.  That said, I don't care to store fuel systems dry, either.  I have pretty good luck topping machines off and storing them for one season (winter/summer depending on the application), though I usually drain and strain the gas out of the stored machine and mix it in with fresh gas in one of my frequently used rigs to 'get rid' of it. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Tcmtech Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 Aug 2016 at 11:57am
Originally posted by Dmpaul89 Dmpaul89 wrote:

Tcmtech , that's a pretty good explanation there. Never acurred to me that there could be other things in gas besides ethanol. If this is really the case then why is this the first I have heard of it? I'd think ethanol companies would be frantically trying to clear ethanol of the water problem blame game. But they dont.   


Not sure really.  I just deal with the physics and chemistry issues not the PR and politics.

Mostly I suspect it's similar to the scam behind emissions tier levels and what is really being gained for what the guys like us at the bottom get for the money spent. It's just one more tentacle of the overall man made global warming scam/mass money and power grab.  

If the basic truth came out and too many average unassuming people learned of it the whole house of cards most of our world politics are built out of falls down.  

From a thread of mine on another forum.
------------------------------------------------------

Tier 0: No emissions regulation of any sort. Pre ~1970

Tier 1 and 2: they account for a roughly 90% reduction in engine emissions from Tier 0 era. Cost us X dollars per engine to achieve.

Tier 3: another ~90% reduction. Sound pretty good again but actual numbers wise it's a 90% reduction of what's left after the first 90% reduction or when combined a ~98% reduction from Tier 0 or an ~8.5% drop from tier 1 & 2's 90% cut. Cost us ~2X dollars more per engine to meet that level than meeting Tiers 1 & 2 did.

Tier 4: Another 90% reduction again ! Sounds impressive but here's where the numbers cheat hits us hard. Roughly 10% of 10% of 10% leaves us at an actual ~ 1% of Tier 0's initial levels but cost us 8X what meeting Tier 1 & 2's level that wiped out 90% of emissions cost us per engine.

That's right that last 1% unweighted gain, based on the original Tier 0 to Tier 1 & 2 first reduction stage, to go from Tier 3 to Tier 4 compliance cost us 8 times as much per engine as hitting that initial tier 0 to 1 & 2 90% reduction cost us.

------------

Pre emissions Tier 0 baseline numbers.

https://www3.epa.gov/ttnchie1/conference/ei13/mobile/helmer.pdf

Tier 1 - 3 Numbers.

https://www.dieselnet.com/standards/us/nonroad.php#tier3

Tier 4 Numbers.

https://www.dieselnet.com/standards/us/nonroad.php#tier4

Emissions numbers from pre-1970 to present side by side comparisons of 10 common engines.

https://www.dieselnet.com/standards/us/hd.php

A graph that put all those Tier level numbers into a visual perspective.

post-60957-0-92892500-1461374037_thumb.j

What this cost you though the years in comparison to each others gains.

http://www.theicct.org/sites/default/files/publications/ICCT_LDVcostsreport_2012.pdf

---------------------------------------------

Oh yea and BTW the cost in terms of actual potential engine power and fuel efficiency from typical pre 1970's Horsepower Hours per Gallon equivalents is we have lost about 1/3 of it to meet all this. 

-----------------------------------------
^Real kick in the head when you see how things really compare from tier to tier VS the money spent huh?^ Angry




Edited by Tcmtech - 29 Aug 2016 at 11:58am
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Butch(OH) Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 Aug 2016 at 12:28pm
Only thing I have to add to this topic is when farm economics take turns like this I am glad I am a landlord and in a cash rent agreement. In all of my years I have NEVER seen cash rent drop significantly or for any length of time no matter what the cash grain market was doing. As one of the other posters said there is always somebody around offering big rent and keeping everyone else paying no matter how poor the current markets are.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Tcmtech Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 Aug 2016 at 12:39pm
Originally posted by 427435 427435 wrote:


Seems like this thread has morphed into an ethanol bashing thread.  My experience has been different than what others have posted.  I've got 15+ gas engines around my place----------some as much as 50 years old.  I had more problems with gas and gunk in the days before E10--------especially in my boat.  A lot of those engines are in things that don't get started often and sit all winter.  We've had mandatory E10 in Minnesota for 10+ years, and I haven't had problems with gunk or failed gaskets.  They all seem to start fine in the spring.  What I have noted is that the fuel bowls of the carbed engines I have are a lot cleaner now that E10 is running through them.


I did finally run into a possible E10 problem, for the first time, this month.  A 10+ year old string trimmer developed rotten fuel lines and primer bulb.  I wrote that off as cheap
Chinese parts.  However, fuel lines have been know to fail back in the days of "pure" gasoline as well.


It's only bashing when there is no fighting back or educational aspects in play..  Tongue

As for the fuel line issues well, that's a whole other can of questionable manufacturing methods worms I could get into.  

The simple answer is the vast majority of the rubber hoses and plastics they use for fuel are not 100% compatible with all the  base chemical stocks in gasoline like the Olefins,  MTBE, BTEX, and Ethanol plus very few rubbers and plastics contain the necessary, or at least in sufficient amounts necessary for long term stability, anti UV, Ozone and other such stabilizers that once gave them their '1000 year' life expectancies.  

Ever wonder why a 50+ year old tire still has its sidewalls intact yet your 3 year old ones are already sun rotting and cracking?  Lack of those stabilizers , that's why, and the manufactures do it on purpose! (too be environmentally friendly you know.)  Angry

BTW if you want good rubber hoses that won't degrade in your lifetime find ones made with this stuff,   

It's spendier but well worth it! 
Wink



Edited by Tcmtech - 29 Aug 2016 at 12:41pm
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"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fluoroelastomer  "
With the advent of todays world marketing, you got to look for the specs of said item and minimal at best and none to speak of otherwise.
  Above, 427 said he had his first "first possible problem" with E10... Well I ran into that first "DEFINITE PROBLEM" with that alcohol fuel in my chainsaws back in the 90's.  Specially on my old Echo and Jonsered chainsaws. The rubber tubing practically melted away into go ribbons.  went to the Echo dealer and told him I needed fuel lines, and he said "you shouldn't be using the cheap gas, Its hard on the carb gaskets too...".The Jonsered parts man said, "it's normal for old lines to crack..." I said they didn't crack, they turned to mush.. the lawn mower and weed trimmer lines got brittle and cracked."
  I did have some issues with gas delivered to the farm and one day I made a comment to the trucker and he said that many of the other farmers specify no alcohol fuel because they were tired of issues with the alcohol gas. Non A gas costs more but a whole lot less trouble, specially in winter.
 Yesterday, I finally got time to look at my little Bobcat, Wisconsin powered, figured out the fuel pump was the culprit after draining fuel tank and flushing and new filters and new lines and cleaning the carb multiple times... took the fuel pump apart, (old school style with screws) dirt in the pump, cleaned it out, and obseved that old fuel pump still had excellent rubber parts in it yet.
 Wish manufactors would build quality components yet like this pump was.   
He who says there is no evil has already deceived himself
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Tcmtech Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 Aug 2016 at 3:23pm
Originally posted by JC(WI) JC(WI) wrote:


 Yesterday, I finally got time to look at my little Bobcat, Wisconsin powered, figured out the fuel pump was the culprit after draining fuel tank and flushing and new filters and new lines and cleaning the carb multiple times... took the fuel pump apart, (old school style with screws) dirt in the pump, cleaned it out, and obseved that old fuel pump still had excellent rubber parts in it yet.
 Wish manufactors would build quality components yet like this pump was.   

I've ran into that same problem a number of time with rebuild kits for carburetors and fuel pumps now where the new rubbers they use just dissolve in today's fuels where the old parts just wore out form age and mechanical related issues.

I put a new carburetor on my Dads old mid 80's Ford Ranger that he uses for a around the  farm beater because the old unit was simply mechanically worn beyond rebuild.  
ALl the rubber diaphragms and gaskets dissolved into blistered gobs of goo during the first two months and he only runs straight gas with no ethanol.  
At first I figured it was just cheap Chinese rubber so I put a quality kit in it from Napa The second kit did the same .   
The last kit was a pro racing kit with the Fluoroelastomer rubber designed for methanol based racing fuels.    It's been good for over a year now but the new fuel pump, stock factory one that mechanically wore out,  I put in last summer dissolved into goo over winter so that got replaced with a methanol rated electric one.  

An interesting side note on researching things is if you look at many of the rubbers they rate for use with  gasoline fuel if you do a more indepth reading they are not rated  for one or more of the chemicals from the Olefin, MTBE, and BTEX family which make up the bulk of what gasoline is made of.
  
Vinyl or vinyl lined fuel hose for example which are extremely common on small engine applications. 
It's rated for use with various gasolines yet when you look at its chemical compatibility by the individual primary components of gasoline and you will see it has a severe reaction to Toluene and Xylene which is parts of the BTEX group found in all pump gas gasoline mixtures which is why your string trimmer and chainsaw fuel line dissolve after a year or two of exposure and your black rubber fuel lines on your lawnmowers and tractors become rotten and brittle. 

So HTF does that work? Confused


Edited by Tcmtech - 29 Aug 2016 at 6:31pm
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote tbran Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 Aug 2016 at 4:17pm
back to the original "strike"
Farmers do not have to strike - IF and it will not happen - 90% of the farmers left the tractor/planter in the shed - just via electronic communication quietly sold the cows 
AND BOUGHT GRAiN /CATTLE when prices hit near $3 and cattle hit a low - on the futures market - and sell on options the next year. 
Don't produce a grain -or a calf - you can BUY it cheaper than you can raise it. IF you use the crop money to buy grain rather than for fertilizer seed and chemicals - then the surplus would disappear, the price would go back the $8 corn and $16 soybeans.
Buy at $3 sell for ???
by the time CBOT figured it out ....
this way the farmer will have a tremendous profit next year for doing nothing and for decades to follow.

what a pipe dream.... :-) 

When told "it's not the money,it's the principle", remember, it's always the money..
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote DougS Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 Aug 2016 at 7:54pm
Thousands have made money that way, tbran. Thousands more have lost money that way. For ever dollar made there is a dollar lost.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote tbran Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 Aug 2016 at 9:38pm
this is different than going long or speculation. It is causing a supply/demand change and buying grain rather than raising it in amounts = to what one raises before the fatcats catch on... again an impossibility = however one day when there are only 20,000 producers left....  keep in mind the median age of the American farmer is almost 60 - think 20 years in the future... this is a serious national security issue called the greying of agriculture. There are think tank topics on this potential problem.  IF the number of farmers shrink to a point where they DO form a bargaining arm and SET a price for food instead of depending on the CBOT - the price of food will dramatically increase to workd levels- the resulting decrease in disposable income will make the great depression look like a cakewalk.  NA = US and Canada have a vibrant economy due to  less than 15% of income goes to feeding ourselves.  AKA a cheap food policy that leaves the rest 85% for widgets and other toys that build business that employs the masses. . Hats off to the American farmers, the hours they work and the money they spend in the good times and the suck it up and keep farming efforts in the bad times.  (and a govt that makes sure they don't go broke in the bad times)
When told "it's not the money,it's the principle", remember, it's always the money..
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote victoryallis Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 30 Aug 2016 at 6:12am
Originally posted by Dmpaul89 Dmpaul89 wrote:

as far as grain, corn and soybeans have had good prices in the summer. all you have to do is lock in, or bin it.  was $4.50 this last june (only 3 months ago) and I expect it to be in the $4 range come next june just like it always does.  I'm just Thankfull I dont have to do Wheat.... the guys in Kansas, and Oklahoma are hurting with these prices. 

We just need to get rid of cash rent, federally subsidized crop insurance, and bulk discounts. everything in AG promotes expansion, you cant buy a new "little" combine in the U.S.  Bigger, Bigger, BIGGER   if this continues there will be no Family farm or even farmers.  just corporate offices, and laborers to work the ground 



Huh X2

What is wrong with cash rents? On some farms I know my land costs 5 years out. I could only imagine doing shares with some folks. I'm a STO and have over $200,000.00 in planting expenses out in the field risk management is a piece of the puzzle. Imagine having a note on your crops and hale storm goes through.
8030 and 8050MFWD, 7580, 3 6080's, 160, 7060, 175, heirloom D17, Deere 8760
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dmpaul89 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 30 Aug 2016 at 7:51am
Because instead of being a competition on who can pay the most rent, we would be judged on the things that matter. Like timeliness, yield, integrity , stewardship etc.. to win over a landlord.

There are still guys advertising $400 cash rent looking for land. It's people like this that drive the profit out of farming for everyone.

I do 66/33 crop share, land Lord pays 1/3 fertilizer. Works well this way,    last year when beans were 8.50 my rent was about $125 an acre. This year with corn it will be more but still not bad.

How do you think all the guys feel that signed long term cash rent when prices were $7? Are they still paying that figure with $3 corn?





Edited by Dmpaul89 - 30 Aug 2016 at 7:52am
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Tbone95 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 30 Aug 2016 at 7:57am
Dmpaul89, your system sounds nice, but you'd have to change the mindset of the landlords, most of them, which is another one of those things that won't happen. Most of them don't give a crap about what "should matter", it's easier for them to simply stick their hand out for the $$$.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dan73 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 30 Aug 2016 at 8:05am
What farmers need to do is form a coop that is actually the farmers themselves and buy and sell through it. If you could get 90% of the farms in a state to approach the seed company together and say if you want to sell here this is the price you would be amazed at the deal you would get. Big business understands value discounts. As a controls engineer I worked for both small and big companies and when I went to a big company I couldn't understand why they bothered to use a particular vendor who had a rep of being very expensive turned out they where cheaper in volume sales then the company's I had been buying from in the past. So in about 40 years when there are just a few mega farms the seed companies will be stuck and the mega farms will either rent for nothing or own the land....
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