odds problem
Printed From: Unofficial Allis
Category: Other Topics
Forum Name: Shops, Barns, Varmints, and Trucks
Forum Description: anything you want to talk about except politics
URL: https://www.allischalmers.com/forum/forum_posts.asp?TID=168298
Printed Date: 04 May 2024 at 4:51am
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Topic: odds problem
Posted By: jaybmiller
Subject: odds problem
Date Posted: 13 Feb 2020 at 10:55am
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OK, I can't figure out how to ask Google but you guys will KNOW !!! I have a bag of 20 marbles, 10 red and 10 black. Picking 1 at a time, they get stored into 2 new bags, 10 marbles each. What are the odds that each bag contains 5 red and 5 black ? Thanks Jay ------------- 3 D-14s,A-C forklift, B-112 Kubota BX23S lil' TOOT( The Other Orange Tractor) Never burn your bridges, unless you can walk on water |
Replies:
Posted By: SteveM C/IL
Date Posted: 13 Feb 2020 at 1:29pm
| ???? guess it depends on which you put where |
Posted By: FloydKS
Date Posted: 13 Feb 2020 at 3:11pm
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I just pasted your question into Google... looks like it gets complicated... SO, I will not answer your question....................... ------------- Holding a grudge is like taking poison and expecting the other person to die |
Posted By: Dave in PA
Date Posted: 13 Feb 2020 at 3:21pm
| Depends on what bag you put them in, I assume that you are looking at them? |
Posted By: jaybmiller
Date Posted: 13 Feb 2020 at 3:41pm
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Actually it's about the new Survivor program. 10 boys, 10 girls....draw bandanas for the 2 groups of 10 .. magically... they randomly become 2 tribes of 5 boy and 5 girls each, hmmmmmmmmmmmmm I did the math the odds of that happening is 1 in 2,217,072 !!! ------------- 3 D-14s,A-C forklift, B-112 Kubota BX23S lil' TOOT( The Other Orange Tractor) Never burn your bridges, unless you can walk on water |
Posted By: Dave in PA
Date Posted: 13 Feb 2020 at 4:18pm
| Opps, my bad! Don't watch the show, keep us info. |
Posted By: chaskaduo
Date Posted: 13 Feb 2020 at 5:00pm
And that's the reality of a reality show, but we already know this.  ------------- 1938 B, 79 Dynamark 11/36 6spd, 95 Weed-Eater 16hp, 2010 Bolens 14hp |
Posted By: HD6GTOM
Date Posted: 13 Feb 2020 at 6:15pm
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Old gal says I've lost all of my marbles so I guess this question don't apply to me . You all figure it out.
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Posted By: TimNearFortWorth
Date Posted: 13 Feb 2020 at 8:09pm
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If you want a chuckle, just yesterday someone played back a question someone asked of one of those talking answer searches, "how much wood could a woodchuck chuck if a woodchuck could chuck wood". The answers vary and the guy keeps repeating the question until the female voice goes nuts with frustration because he keeps asking the same thing, but continues trying to answer every time. Pretty funny stuff and the always polite voice changes by about the 10th time asked. |
Posted By: Dave H
Date Posted: 14 Feb 2020 at 5:39am
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couldn't believe how good Amber looked after all those years and 4 kids later! |
Posted By: jaybmiller
Date Posted: 14 Feb 2020 at 6:09am
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re Amber. It was a good thing she was ousted ,well temporarily, obviously the Husband/wife team IS an alliance ! It'll be interesting to see how 20 millionaires play the game ------------- 3 D-14s,A-C forklift, B-112 Kubota BX23S lil' TOOT( The Other Orange Tractor) Never burn your bridges, unless you can walk on water |
Posted By: LouSWPA
Date Posted: 14 Feb 2020 at 6:52am
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HELP! SAVE ME I.ve wondered into the twilight zone! what in the world are you guys talking about ------------- I am still confident of this; I will see the goodness of the Lord in the land of the living. Wait for the Lord; be strong and take heart and wait for the Lord. Ps 27 |
Posted By: jaybmiller
Date Posted: 14 Feb 2020 at 7:06am
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Actually the original Twilight Zone made more sense !!!.. The mega hit series 'Survivor' has to be rigged as WHAT are the odds that 10 boys and 10 girls could be exactly divided into 2 teams of 5 boys and 5 girls by drawing 'colors' out of a bag ? Well I did the math and it's one in 2,217,072 chances...oh yeah, this was 'done' in front of a camera..... hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm ------------- 3 D-14s,A-C forklift, B-112 Kubota BX23S lil' TOOT( The Other Orange Tractor) Never burn your bridges, unless you can walk on water |
Posted By: Tbone95
Date Posted: 14 Feb 2020 at 7:14am
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Not much reality in reality TV of course.... .....and not much of an expert in statistics..... But, did the boys and girls alternate boy-girl-boy-girl when picking? That would seem to change the math versus drawing random marble out of the bag analogy. Still not 50-50, but seems it would change, as you are forcing an order if you alternate who picks.
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Posted By: LouSWPA
Date Posted: 14 Feb 2020 at 9:53am
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I haven't watched Survivor since the fat queer won. I think he later went to jail for something.....too long ago, I don't remember ------------- I am still confident of this; I will see the goodness of the Lord in the land of the living. Wait for the Lord; be strong and take heart and wait for the Lord. Ps 27 |
Posted By: SteveM C/IL
Date Posted: 14 Feb 2020 at 10:24am
| You lost your filter Lou?? LOL!! "the fat queer"! Truth is so brash. |
Posted By: Tbone95
Date Posted: 14 Feb 2020 at 10:40am
| I've watched less than 20 minutes sum total. |
Posted By: Ted J
Date Posted: 14 Feb 2020 at 11:41am
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I got you beat Tbone, I watched less than 5. I was glad Lou asked WTH was goin on. It went from marbles to Amber.....lost me. Today, in TV as in politics, there is NO reality. Try dividing that by 10 ------------- "Allis-Express" 19?? WC / 1941 C / 1952 CA / 1956 WD45 / 1957 WD45 / 1958 D-17 |
Posted By: Ray54
Date Posted: 14 Feb 2020 at 12:07pm
I am stupider than Tbone and Ted I saw at least 60 minutes over the years.But what the he.., who can be your best friend as they stab you in the back. The world is full of that kind  I do my best find them and RUN ,FAR AND FAST.WHAT A WASTE OF TIME Let's go back to making fun of politicians.
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Posted By: jaybmiller
Date Posted: 14 Feb 2020 at 12:18pm
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The show has de-evolved( if that 's a word) over the years... It used to be about surviving ( boil water,find food, physical games, make fire,etc) ,but now it's just a 'social' game. Fresh potable water in the 'well', delivered food every day, lots of tools,and such. They USED to give out a million for 1st place, 100,000 for 2nds and another 100K for 'viewer's pick', not any more. There's a lot more 'they've' changed, dumbing down the 'game' to a whocanscrewandwin game. ------------- 3 D-14s,A-C forklift, B-112 Kubota BX23S lil' TOOT( The Other Orange Tractor) Never burn your bridges, unless you can walk on water |
Posted By: Ray54
Date Posted: 14 Feb 2020 at 5:08pm
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I want to say I should not have put the waste of time comment the way I did. I waste my time here and not in front of the TV. So Jay just saying not pointing at you if you find enjoyment watching reality TV. |
Posted By: DaveKamp
Date Posted: 15 Feb 2020 at 1:28am
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Like Jay says, the initial concept was about 'survival' of a drastically minimal physical environment, but what it devolved into, was entirely a social experiment. In a 'real' survival circumstance, it would be contrary to the group goal to vote ANYONE 'off the island'... and the history of Pitcairn Island (a very, very real piece of history) is a perfect example of genuine REALITY. Back when the show started (yeah, I'm dating myself here), I had several friends suggest that I would be a great candidate... so I watched it once. I told them that as soon as they dropped us off onto the island, I'd vanish into the vegetation, and NOBODY would see or hear of me, until there was only one other person left. I would emerge, fit, healthy, and well-fed... (and they'd never have to 'vote' anyone 'off the island'. ------------- Ten Amendments, Ten Commandments, and one Golden Rule solve most every problem. Citrus hand-cleaner with Pumice does the rest. |
Posted By: darrel in ND
Date Posted: 15 Feb 2020 at 8:32am
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Survivor.....? No idea what you're talking about. Evidently something that shows up on TV once in a while. Darrel |
Posted By: LouSWPA
Date Posted: 15 Feb 2020 at 9:02am
Well Steve, you're right, the term fat is quite relative, and perhaps was uncalled for. When they parade down the street nearly naked, chanting 'we're here, we're queer, get over it', who am I to argue with them? I certainly would not want to offend them by using incorrect terminology! LOL anyways, I think that was the first or second season, so I haven't watched the show in 20 years or so ------------- I am still confident of this; I will see the goodness of the Lord in the land of the living. Wait for the Lord; be strong and take heart and wait for the Lord. Ps 27 |
SteveM C/IL wrote:Posted By: Coke-in-MN
Date Posted: 15 Feb 2020 at 12:46pm
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Ah the reality shows where individuals and groups are out surviving by wits and shere knowledge of ????? And the camera crew recording this all has no bearing on REALITY as they set by with boom miles and multiple cameras eating catered meals while the dupes eat worms and weeds . YEP SO TRUE - about 1 minute of it while searching for something else to suck the last bit of intelligence out through the eyeballs - but being sure to buy the sponsors products . NOPE reruns of Mr Ed are more reality ------------- Faith isn't a jump in the dark. It is a walk in the light. Faith is not guessing; it is knowing something. "Challenges are what make life interesting; overcoming them is what makes life meaningful." |
Posted By: Ted J
Date Posted: 15 Feb 2020 at 6:20pm
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Survival.....give em a knife and turn em loose on an (UNINHABITED) island. If you're still here in two weeks, we'll give you a merit badge. Drain the swamp and clean (bleach) the gene pool..... ------------- "Allis-Express" 19?? WC / 1941 C / 1952 CA / 1956 WD45 / 1957 WD45 / 1958 D-17 |
Posted By: LouSWPA
Date Posted: 15 Feb 2020 at 8:54pm
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well the really dumb one was the one that put a man and a woman totally naked in some desolate area to survive. never saw it but I still think it was dumb! ------------- I am still confident of this; I will see the goodness of the Lord in the land of the living. Wait for the Lord; be strong and take heart and wait for the Lord. Ps 27 |
Posted By: AllisFreak MN
Date Posted: 16 Feb 2020 at 9:12am
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Yeah, it was called Naked and Afraid I think. They weren't afraid of being naked on TV apparently. ------------- '49 A-C WD, '51 A-C WD, '63 A-C D17 Series III, 1968 A-C One-Seventy, '82 A-C 6060, '75 A-C 7040, A-C #3 sickle mower, 2 A-C 701 wagons, '78 Gleaner M2 |
Posted By: jaybmiller
Date Posted: 16 Feb 2020 at 9:18am
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yeah, cept 'they' blurred out some body parts.... still on TV too.... ------------- 3 D-14s,A-C forklift, B-112 Kubota BX23S lil' TOOT( The Other Orange Tractor) Never burn your bridges, unless you can walk on water |